Understanding how loans grant synergy
Understanding synergy and its potential is indispensable in the formation of partnerships. Do you know what the synergies are in your partnerships? Try answering the following questions: What is the synergistic benefit to you in your partnership? What is the synergistic benefit to your partner? Have you mutually agreed to help each other achieve these benefits? How will you measure your achievement? How do you tell each other if you’re not getting the benefits of the partnership? What other opportunities are there to partner within the company? With suppliers? With customers? While it’s important to understand the vision behind the partnership and recognize its synergistic opportunities, synergy can be described as an outcome of the second dynamic: conflict resolution. You cannot have synergy unless you know how to manage conflict in a collaborative, win-win manner.
Evidence shows that a spread level of merely 25 bp was never achieved between 1989 and 2003 for Baa rated US corporate bonds. One reason is that from an economic perspective the default probabilities and recovery rates that were assumed to calculate the required spreads were too optimistic for this period. Especially between 1997 and 2002 the fundamental environment for corporate bonds was unfavorable. New technologies, company takeovers and equity buyback programs were primarily financed by the issuance of corporate bonds, resulting in an increased level of leverage in the corporate sector. Investors consequently required higher risk premia to invest in corporate bonds. One way to obtain more adequate estimates of required spreads is to use default probabilities and recovery rates that are typical for the current stage of the business cycle. Modern models for credit risk management and the pricing of credit derivatives account for the current economic environment. In particular, they differentiate between periods of expansion and contraction, because historically default rates increased and recovery rates fell during economic downturns, thus leading to a higher risk for credit investors. Additionally, a worst-case-scenario can be constructed assuming a zero per cent recovery value. A fair spread of 0.46 percent will be computed for Baa rated corporate bonds with a maturity of 5 years which is again a lot lower than the actually observed spreads.
For a corporate bond investor who is willing to hold a corporate bond to maturity the credit spread has to compensate fully for the loss if the company defaults during the lifetime of the bond. The expected loss is given by the product of the probability of default, pD, and loss severity, which is defined as 100 percent minus the recovery rate, R. On the other hand, if the company does not default, the investor earns an excess return equivalent to the spread, S, times maturity of the bond, T. The effect of interest on interest is ignored in this calculation.
Air France, in common with other established carriers in Europe and North America, found its traditional markets threatened by the downturn in the airline industry and the increase in low-cost carriers. To remain competitive, the company paid special attention to four techniques: